Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 6.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.6 minutes per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (29th-best in the league) against the Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (13th-least in the league).

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