Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 11, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.5 shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 9.7 mark last year.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
With respect to scoring, the Kings's exceptional 124.2 points per game settles in as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 8th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (46.3%).
The Thunder have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).