Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.9 shots from the field per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.7 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have captured 8.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 13th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5).
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Bulls).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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