Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-109/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray registers in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on the road, logging 6.1 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Kings check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 5.3 mark, Keegan Murray's unsuccessful shots have risen this year to 7.0 per game.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, making this a difficult matchup.
The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.