Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 82nd percentile for shots taken, compiling 13.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 4.9 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a positive matchup.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has failed to convert 4.4 attempts from beyond the arc per game this year, significantly more than his 3.6 mark last year.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the NBA).

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