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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 1/2/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Charlotte Hornets

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has converted 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage.

Keegan Murray has made 5.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing at home.

Keegan Murray has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.

With respect to shooting, the Kings's impressive 122.3 points per game at home rates 6th-best in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against the Hornets is a good one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (55.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

On the road, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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