Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 9.7 mark last year.
Keegan Murray has successfully made 3.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
In regard to shooting, the Sacramento Kings's fantastic 117.4 points per game rates 8th-strongest in the league this year.
The 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies are at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player performance for all stats.

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