Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 13.0 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit more than his 9.7 mark last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 89th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on the road, logging 6.3 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 28th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (54.1%).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.7 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 7thworst in in the league with just 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 26.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).
Keegan Murray should experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.