Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has totaled 24.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.1 more than he's totaled over the course of the season at home.
Keegan Murray has made 56.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Kings.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 9thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.7 offensive boards per game over the last 14 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 0.9 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have snagged 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).

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