Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 50.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% more than he's made overall this season when playing at home.
Keegan Murray has tallied 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a strong one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (45.8%).
The 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should boost plays for the Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
In regard to shooting, the Kings's subpar 46.5% field goal percentage settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

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