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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.7 rate last year.

Keegan Murray has averaged 30.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 22.2 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game away from his home court this year.

When it comes to offense, the Kings's poor 46.4% field goal rate as the home team settles in as the 10th-fewest in the NBA this year.

The Kings are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).

This year when they are at home, the other team has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Suns (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Keegan Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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