Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 13.3 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 9.7 rate last year.
Keegan Murray has attempted 7.7 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.1 rate last year.
In comparison to last season's 29.1 mark, Keegan Murray's playing time has risen this season to 34.0 minutes per game.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Kings will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

As it relates to three-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 35.2% rate of drained threes when playing at home settles in as the 10th-fewest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have registered 11.6 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
At home, the Pelicans have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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