Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots from the field have jumped this year to 13.4 per game.
Keegan Murray has attempted 7.7 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 6.1 rate last year.
In comparison to last year's 29.1 mark, Keegan Murray's playing time has jumped this year to 34.2 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.0).
The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Favors Under

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.6% rate of drained threes measures as the 8th-lowest in the NBA this year.
While at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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