Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 2.5 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has tallied 29.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league while on the road since the start of last season.
The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league as the home team this year.
The matchup against Houston is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Rockets are at home (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (3.3).
The Kings are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
Since the start of last season, the other team has collected 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets (preserving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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