Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 2.5 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has tallied 29.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Kings check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a challenging one for three-pointers; the other team has shot for the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (33.0%).
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league since the start of last season has been the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have scored 12.6 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Warriors, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
At home, the Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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