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Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-140/+115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -140.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Keegan Murray has sunk 6.1 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road.Keegan Murray has sunk 3.9 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's made from three in all games this season at home.Keegan Murray has averaged 29.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.The 6th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.The Jazz have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Kings.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In comparison to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Keegan Murray's personal fouls per game have surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games.This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.5 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Jazz, identifying this as a tough matchup.This year, opposing squads have collected 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz (continuing possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).The matchup against Utah is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the Jazz are the visiting team (6th-least in the league).Keegan Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance across the board.
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