Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 2.5 threes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Warriors is a hard one; they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.0).
The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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