Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:31 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 3.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Keegan Murray has tallied 28.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 25th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (1.9).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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