Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 3.3 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's made from three overall this season.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Kings.
Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 23.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one; when the Warriors are on the road, they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (13.9).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Golden State may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Warriors are away from home (10th-least in the NBA).

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