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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keegan Murray has sunk 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year away from home.
  • Keegan Murray has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
  • Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.9% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Keegan Murray has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 14th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.1).
  • The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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