Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 3.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a good one; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (17.2).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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