Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has averaged 17.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
Keegan Murray has sunk 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the year while playing away from home.
Keegan Murray has played 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
The matchup against New Orleans is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Pelicans are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 12th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.1).
The Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production across the board.

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