Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Keegan Murray has attempted 9.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The matchup vs. Portland is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.3).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).