Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 8.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year.
The Celtics have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.7%).
The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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