Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 2.4 treys per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 79th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The matchup against the Jazz is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production for all stats.

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