Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 39.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has averaged 28.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Nets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 10th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league since the start of last season (1.3).
The Nets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Nets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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