Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 10:12 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 39.4% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has tallied 29.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Kings.
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Bucks is a challenging one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 25 games (11.4).
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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