Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New York Knicks · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 40.0% of his shots from downtown since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has tallied 29.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The matchup against the Knicks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (16.7).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Knicks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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