Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 40.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been among the best at getting to the foul line on their home court: 5th-best in the league this year, totaling 23.8 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (12.2).
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).

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