Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 40.8% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Kings.

Favors Under

The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Thunder are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least threes per game in the league this year (0.9).
The Sacramento Kings rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).
Keegan Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces stat production for all stats.