Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 41.2% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has tallied 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Suns have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 7 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Kings.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Cameron Johnson is a challenging one; he has given up just 7.7 points per game when playing at home when matched up against fellow starting PFs since the start of last season (4th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Cameron Johnson is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when Johnson is at home and defending opposing starting PFs since the start of last season, they have attempted a lowly 0.7 free throws per game (4th percentile).
Keegan Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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