Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing at home.
Keegan Murray has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 6.2 more than he's played overall this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Josh Green is a strong one; he has allowed a monstrous 18.3 points per game while playing on the road when matched up against fellow starting SFs this year (96th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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