Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 3.1 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made overall this season.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing squads have put up the highest field goal rate in the league over the last 10 games when the Rockets have the home court advantage (44.1%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the least treys per game in the league over the last 20 games (1.0).
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Rockets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Rockets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted just 25.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (7th-least in the league).

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