Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 54.2% of his treys over the last 15 games, 11.7% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 21.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Keegan Murray has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's played overall this season.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 12 games on their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 10 games (10.5).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

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