Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 46.9% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.8% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Keegan Murray has attempted 5.9 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 21.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

On the road, the Jazz have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Kings have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should reduce opportunities for the Jazz.
The matchup against the Jazz is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.3).

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