Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 16, 2025

Updated Apr 17, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing at home.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 8th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (5.2).
The Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-speediest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.5 fouls per game at home this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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