Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 5.7 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, creating a positive matchup.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Kings.
The Kings have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 6.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shot attempts from beyond the arc have tailed off this year to 5.6 per game.
Keegan Murray has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.4% rate of made threes settles in as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

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