Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-132/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 5.4 three-pointers per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has played 34.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
In terms of shots from downtown, the Kings's impressive 36.6% rate of sunk threes while at home comes in as the 9th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 6th-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (4.0).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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