Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 8.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Keegan Murray has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Kings are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Keegan Murray will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Kings have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, making this a tough matchup.

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