Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made an impressive 3.1 3-pointers per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.5 rate last season.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Kings have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 24.4% on three-pointers (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a difficult matchup.
When playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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