Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 8.1 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 5.6 rate last season.
Keegan Murray has played 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Nets are away from home, opposing teams have shot for the 8th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (35.2%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games on their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
In terms of shots from downtown, the Kings's unimpressive 35.3% rate of successful threes settles in as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.5 three-pointers per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making this a challenging matchup.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (retaining possessions that can create extra chances for offense).

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