Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 8.8 three-pointers per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 5.6 mark last season.
In comparison to last year's 29.0 clip, Keegan Murray's playing time has risen this year to 36.0 minutes per game.
The 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 9thbest in in the league when playing at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have brought down 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 39.7% clip, Keegan Murray's 3-point efficiency has dropped this year to 28.3%.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.2).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

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