Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 8.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.1 mark last year.
In contrast to last year's 29.1 mark, Keegan Murray's playing time has spiked this year to 33.8 minutes per game.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 34.7% clip, Keegan Murray's 3-point proficiency has diminished this season to 23.8%.
The Kings check in as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Spurs are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 13th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (22.8%).
The 6th-most lethargic pace away team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Spurs (retaining possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).

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