Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 6.1 rate, Keegan Murray's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 8.2 per game.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for a terrific 34.2 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 29.1 minutes per game last season.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has successfully made a measly 22.6% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 34.7 mark last year.
Keegan Murray has committed 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (77th percentile).
The Kings have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from home this year.
The slowest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers (saving possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).