Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 13, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +133 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 6.1 rate, Keegan Murray's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 8.3 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.9 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Kings.
The Cavaliers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has converted a lowly 24.7% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly less than his 39.7 mark last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
In regard to three-point shots, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 31.7% rate of sunk threes without the home court advantage comes in as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 4.4 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, branding this as a hard matchup.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has secured 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).