Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 2.5 shots from downtown per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 9.6 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray will likely see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-pointers, the Kings's lackluster 31.7% rate of successful threes as the home team ranks 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a tough one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (24.3%).

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