Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 2.5 threes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Warriors is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (3.5).
The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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