Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-133/+103).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year away from home.
Keegan Murray has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against Denver is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 22nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (35.3%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.