Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 3.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (5.4).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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