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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +148 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has successfully made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing at home.

Keegan Murray has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 6.2 more than he's played overall this season at home.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.

Keegan Murray will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Dorian Finney-Smith is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; when matched up against fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a measly 4.2 treys per game (4th percentile).

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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